Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:31:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1bc1…a6a7
sports · 628 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$17 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$23 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized+$23
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses347 / 273
Est. fees paid−$32
Open positions8
Markets (closed)620 / 628
History coverage36d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day35.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 620 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days+$23
14 days+$34
30 days+$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Toby Samuel 99¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 69¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+45%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 84¢ 100¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+18%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Under 97¢ 97¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 77¢ 78¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Lucia Bronzetti 81¢ 74¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 68¢ 68¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 55¢ 54¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 82¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $6 −$3 -55%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $7 +$1 +16%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$2 -44%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $7 +$1 +20%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $5 +$2 +29%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $4 −$1 -16%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $6 −$3 -44%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $5 +$2 +28%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $9 −$1 -8%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $3 +$2 +49%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $9 −$5 -50%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $12 +$1 +9%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $4 +$3 +67%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $6 +$2 +34%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $7 +$1 +20%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $6 +$1 +21%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $7 +$1 +14%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 $0 -1%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $6 +$2 +29%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $6 +$1 +17%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $7 +$1 +16%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $5 +$2 +32%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $13 $0 +4%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $6 +$1 +26%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$1 +20%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $6 +$2 +41%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $5 +$3 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$33
world 4% −$14
crypto 0% −$1
other 0% $0
economics 0% $0
finance 0% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $4 8m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones SELL Jack Pinnington Jones 36¢ $3 9m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 81¢ $6 13m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Jiri Lehecka 81¢ $6 16m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 80¢ $6 25m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini SELL Darja Vidmanova 100¢ $8 26m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 39¢ $2 36m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner SELL G2 NORD 88¢ $6 41m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl SELL Team Vitality 71¢ $5 43m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee SELL Harmony Tan 100¢ $8 43m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 79¢ $6 45m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 72¢ $5 45m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 83¢ $6 56m
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 84¢ $6 58m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery SELL Robin Montgomery 100¢ $7 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 42¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 56¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 83¢ $7 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Daniel Galan 63¢ $4 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner SELL G2 NORD 89¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $3 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 90¢ $6 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris SELL Billy Harris 41¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 100¢ $7 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Kamil Majchrzak 96¢ $6 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 76¢ $5 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner SELL G2 NORD 92¢ $6 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 70¢ $4 2h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 77¢ $5 2h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime 36¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 398 +1.6% -8.1% 56% 43% -8.3%
≤30d 619 +0.8% -8.8% 56% 42% -8.7%
≤90d 620 +0.8% -8.8% 56% 42% -8.7%
all 620 +0.8% -8.8% 56% 42% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 42% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 32% -17.5%
15% -25.5% 23% -25.4%
20% -32.8% 15% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.29 · official $45.29 (match) · 1513 history records