Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:08:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1bc9…0e10
crypto · 18 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses7 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)18 / 18
History coverage1d
Avg bet$117
Trades / day357.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+179%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+128%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+103%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 38¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+166%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+180%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $224 $0 −$224 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $113 +$127 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$71 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $82 +$37 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $108 −$7 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$16 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $156 −$71 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $155 −$133 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $233 −$224 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $71 −$69 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $174 +$150 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $140 −$36 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$57 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $127 −$120 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $194 −$138 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $130 +$129 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $173 +$275 +159%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $15 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $40 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $14 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $12 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $48 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $11 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $11 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $15 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $23 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+263.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +301.3% +263.1% 39% 39% -37.4%
≤30d 18 +301.3% +263.1% 39% 39% -37.4%
≤90d 18 +301.3% +263.1% 39% 39% -37.4%
all 18 +301.3% +263.1% 39% 39% -37.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover357.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +263.1% 39% -37.4%
10% ← realistic here +228.3% 39% -43.4%
15% +196.6% 39% -48.8%
20% +167.5% 33% -53.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.83 · official $0.00 · 359 history records