Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:51:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1bce…c696
crypto · 1058 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$233 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$458 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized−$458
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses582 / 470
Est. fees paid−$55
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1052 / 1058
History coverage86d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day33.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 6 History 1052 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$157
14 days−$657
30 days−$346
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Nadia Podoroska 58¢ 82¢ $9 $12 +$4 (+42%)
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 74¢ 79¢ $7 $8 +$0 (+7%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi Suzan Lamens 62¢ 70¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+13%)
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng Michael Zheng 50¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinina Anhelina Kalinina 61¢ 88¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+43%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 73¢ 86¢ $4 $4 +$1 (+17%)
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng Shintaro Mochizuki 64¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$1 (-20%)
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Lucciana Perez Alarcon 66¢ 18¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-73%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinina Lulu Sun 51¢ 12¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-75%)
ITF Nice: Gabriela Ce vs Iva Ivanova Gabriela Ce 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
ITF San Gregorio: Carmen Andreea Herea vs Angelica Raggi Angelica Raggi 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 68¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jeline Vandromme 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
ITF Messina: Lorenzo Beraldo vs Iannis Miletich Iannis Miletich 73¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 72¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
ITF Ontinyent: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Neus Torner Sensano Neus Torner Sensano 67¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bratislava: Martin Krumich vs Maxim Mrva Martin Krumich 73¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
ITF Kayseri: Volodymyr Iakubenko vs Daniel Phillips Daniel Phillips 73¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Cattolica: Michele Ribecai vs Franco Agamenone Michele Ribecai 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin Ilia Simakin 54¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Georgii Kravchenko vs Jan Kumstat Jan Kumstat 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Ozan Baris Jun 14 $6 +$4 +69%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 14 $15 $0 -2%
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Mihalikova/Nicholls vs Fernandez/Siegemu Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Nottingham 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie McDonald Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $9 +$1 +12%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston Jun 14 $3 +$2 +67%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron Jun 14 $7 +$3 +50%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $15 −$7 -48%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 14 $7 +$3 +46%
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Jun 14 $12 +$3 +23%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Martyna Kubka Jun 14 $4 +$1 +37%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
ITF kiseljak: Andrey Chepelev vs Sergi Perez Contri Jun 14 $3 +$2 +97%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Jun 14 $6 −$6 -99%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut Jun 14 $3 +$2 +44%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Jun 14 $19 +$6 +34%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $9 +$1 +12%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef Jun 14 $14 +$1 +7%
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Maxwell Mckennon Jun 14 $13 +$2 +17%
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Cesar Bouchelaghem Jun 14 $15 $0 -3%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder Jun 14 $12 −$2 -17%
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
ITF Monastir: Victoria Milovanova vs Aspen Schuman Jun 14 $4 +$1 +42%
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Sandro Kopp Jun 14 $2 +$3 +124%
ITF Kayseri: Ilay Yoruk vs Lan Mi Jun 14 $6 +$4 +54%
ITF Tokyo: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Hikaru Sato Jun 14 $31 −$6 -20%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Zongyu Li Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera Jun 13 $25 $0 -1%
ITF Los Angeles: Kaitlyn Carnicella vs Monika Ekstrand Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Alexandra Vagramov Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $14 −$4 -27%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $4 +$1 +39%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $6 −$1 -14%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $17 −$7 -42%
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $5 +$1 +31%
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Jun 13 $6 +$4 +65%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $11 −$1 -8%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $13 +$7 +53%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $11 +$4 +40%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $12 −$2 -18%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $19 −$4 -20%
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Jun 13 $21 −$6 -29%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $8 −$3 -40%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $3 +$2 +49%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $12 −$7 -57%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $11 −$1 -12%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $11 −$1 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 67% −$232
crypto 30% −$217
other 3% −$12
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon BUY Nadia Podoroska 80¢ $4 5m
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 79¢ $4 30m
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon BUY Nadia Podoroska 49¢ $2 43m
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 69¢ $3 49m
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Mihalikova/Nicholls vs Fernandez/Siegemu BUY Fernandez/Siegemund 58¢ $3 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Michael Zheng 51¢ $3 1h
ITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Ozan Baris BUY Ozan Baris 57¢ $3 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Shintaro Mochizuki 64¢ $3 1h
ITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Ozan Baris BUY Ozan Baris 60¢ $3 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Michael Zheng 48¢ $2 1h
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon BUY Lucciana Perez Alarcon 66¢ $3 1h
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon BUY Nadia Podoroska 44¢ $2 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Jesper de Jong 76¢ $4 2h
Nottingham 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie McDonald BUY Mackenzie McDonald 66¢ $3 2h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Jesper de Jong 63¢ $3 2h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 52¢ $3 2h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Jesper de Jong 62¢ $3 2h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 57¢ $3 2h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 51¢ $3 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Antonia Ruzic 59¢ $3 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Rinky Hijikata 76¢ $4 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney BUY Alicia Dudeney 51¢ $3 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney BUY Alicia Dudeney 47¢ $2 2h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 66¢ $1 3h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 66¢ $2 3h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 71¢ $4 3h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 69¢ $3 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Rinky Hijikata 57¢ $3 3h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Martyna Kubka BUY Polina Iatcenko 73¢ $4 3h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 73¢ $4 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 263 -2.7% -12.0% 61% 59% -15.6%
≤30d 843 -6.3% -15.2% 56% 54% -15.9%
≤90d 1052 -6.3% -15.2% 55% 50% -15.3%
all 1052 -6.3% -15.2% 55% 50% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 50% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 46% -23.4%
15% -30.7% 32% -30.8%
20% -37.5% 18% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.85 · official $44.85 (match) · 3500 history records