Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:58:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1B
0x1bf4…f4c3
crypto · 334 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$109 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$113 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized+$113
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses233 / 98
Est. fees paid−$32
Open positions1
Markets (closed)331 / 334
History coverage14d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day28.1
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 331 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$135
14 days+$109
30 days+$113
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Toronto Tempo 48¢ 44¢ $50 $46 −$4 (-8%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Daniel Galan 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+158%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Lyon: Robin Bertrand vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Robin Bertrand 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Modena: Jeline Vandromme vs Angela Fita Boluda Angela Fita Boluda 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Connecticut Sun 55¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Sergio Callejon Sergio Callejon 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $50 +$9 +17%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $50 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $50 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% +$165
crypto 43% −$54
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 4h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Daniel Galan 60¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026 BUY 62¢ $10 6h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 39¢ $10 6h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 85¢ $50 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 9h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 15¢ $5 10h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Thijs Boogaard 12¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $11 13h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 13¢ $10 14h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 38¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 232 +10.4% -0.1% 71% 70% -2.7%
≤30d 331 +5.5% -4.5% 70% 70% -5.0%
≤90d 331 +5.5% -4.5% 70% 70% -5.0%
all 331 +5.5% -4.5% 70% 70% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 70% -5.0%
10% ← realistic here -13.7% 50% -14.1%
15% -22.0% 27% -22.4%
20% -29.7% 15% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.72 · official $55.92 · 619 history records