Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:13:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1c01…1a8d
crypto · 124 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,279 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26,906 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$27
Realized−$26,906
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses96 / 281
Whale WR (big bets)16%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)377 / 124
History coverage11d
Avg bet$249
Trades / day314.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 377 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29,808
7 days−$30,386
14 days−$26,906
30 days−$26,906
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+93%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$16 +3166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$100 +19362%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$187 +36428%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$100 +19523%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1,051 +205941%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$100 +19688%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$100 +19981%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$187 +37417%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$100 +20046%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$187 +37809%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$100 +20276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$62 +16053%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$791 +219959%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$603 +283146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$230 +327983%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$474 +603444%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$125 +188676%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$187 +341880%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $267 −$267 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $137 −$137 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$131 +32854%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $137 −$137 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $137 −$137 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $228 −$228 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $267 −$267 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $220 −$220 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $1,345 −$1,345 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $267 −$267 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $267 −$267 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $244 −$244 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,195
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $11 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $11 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $20 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $141 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $9 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $20 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $49 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $186 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $160 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+154.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 327 +135.6% +113.1% 19% 19% -76.9%
≤30d 377 +181.8% +154.9% 25% 25% -68.9%
≤90d 377 +181.8% +154.9% 25% 25% -68.9%
all 377 +181.8% +154.9% 25% 25% -68.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover314.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +154.9% 25% -68.9%
10% ← realistic here +130.5% 25% -71.9%
15% +108.3% 25% -74.6%
20% +87.8% 25% -77.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.40 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records