Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:21:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1c0f…5152
other · 6 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$3 +37%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$5
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)4 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 2 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +30%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$6 +595%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% −$3
sports 37% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 55m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $3 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 77¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 9¢ $0 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 74¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 9h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $1 9h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+86.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +106.4% +86.7% 50% 50% +75.1%
≤30d 4 +106.4% +86.7% 50% 50% +75.1%
≤90d 4 +106.4% +86.7% 50% 50% +75.1%
all 4 +106.4% +86.7% 50% 50% +75.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +86.7% 50% +75.1%
10% +68.9% 50% +58.4%
15% +52.5% 25% +43.1%
20% +37.6% 25% +29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.98 · official $0.98 (match) · 11 history records