Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T23:11:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
1C 0x1c25…b7b7 crypto 1766 markets active 0h ago coverage 58d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$25 (-1%) realized −$36 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%1725W / 45L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day30.2pace
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$10now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$6
14 days−$21
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% −$22
other 11% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 161 -1.7% -11.1% 97% 0% -11.1%
≤30d 1257 -1.0% -10.4% 97% 0% -10.4%
≤90d 1770 -1.0% -10.5% 97% 0% -10.4%
all 1770 -1.0% -10.5% 97% 0% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 0% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 0% -19.0%
15% -26.9% 0% -26.8%
20% -34.0% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

58d coverage
Net worth$10
Realized−$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1725 / 45
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1770 / 1766
History coverage58d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day30.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1770 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 29m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.06 · official $10.06 (match) · 3500 history records