trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +0.7% | -8.8% | 45% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +0.7% | -8.8% | 45% | 0% | -8.9% |
| all | 28 | -1.1% | -10.6% | 57% | 7% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.6% | 7% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -19.1% | 4% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -26.9% | 0% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -34.1% | 0% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 51¢ | 51¢ | $32 | $32 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 08 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 06 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 05 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 01 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 31 | $32 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 30 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 28 | $23 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Jun 26 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 21 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alexander Bublik win Wimbledon 2025? | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | +30% |
| Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday? | Jun 20 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday? | Jun 19 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Jun 19 | $11 | +$2 | +16% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +7% |
| Will someone else win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian | May 07 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League? | May 06 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | May 05 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Apr 29 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files? | Apr 29 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 29 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of EPL? | Apr 07 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days? | Apr 06 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | -1% |