Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1c3f…1892
crypto · 182 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$124 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$124 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$124
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses97 / 85
Open positions0
Markets (closed)182 / 182
Avg bet$3
Trades / day123.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 182 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$109
7 days−$124
14 days−$124
30 days−$124
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +112%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$75
other 15% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 182 -8.4% -17.1% 53% 52% -28.8%
≤30d 182 -8.4% -17.1% 53% 52% -28.8%
≤90d 182 -8.4% -17.1% 53% 52% -28.8%
all 182 -8.4% -17.1% 53% 52% -28.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover123.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.1% 52% -28.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 47% -35.6%
15% -32.3% 38% -41.8%
20% -38.9% 30% -47.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 437 history records