Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:26:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1c4a…4054
crypto · 7 markets active 6h ago
0.0score
−$12 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses4 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-34.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -28.1% -34.9% 57% 14% -34.5%
≤30d 7 -28.1% -34.9% 57% 14% -34.5%
≤90d 7 -28.1% -34.9% 57% 14% -34.5%
all 7 -28.1% -34.9% 57% 14% -34.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -34.9% 14% -34.5%
10% -41.2% 0% -40.7%
15% -46.9% 0% -46.5%
20% -52.1% 0% -51.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 17 history records