Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:35:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1c5d…d7ca
crypto · 80 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$58 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$59 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$59
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses45 / 28
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions7
Markets (closed)73 / 80
History coverage2d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day161.6
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 7 History 73 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$80
7 days+$59
14 days+$59
30 days+$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-16%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$12 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$26 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$10 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$60 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$8 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$22 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$28 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $55 +$9 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$6 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$5 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$13 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $43 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$7 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$9 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$12 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$7 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +103%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$14 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $18 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +28%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $23 +$50 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$19
tech 3% −$4
sports 2% +$48
other 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $49 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $12 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $12 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $12 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $73 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $12 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $12 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $12 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $12 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $12 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $12 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $46 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $12 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $12 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $12 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $12 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $12 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $12 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $12 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $12 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $69 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $12 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $12 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $12 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $12 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $12 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 -5.9% -14.8% 62% 53% -5.1%
≤30d 73 -5.9% -14.8% 62% 53% -5.1%
≤90d 73 -5.9% -14.8% 62% 53% -5.1%
all 73 -5.9% -14.8% 62% 53% -5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover161.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 53% -5.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 36% -14.2%
15% -30.4% 19% -22.5%
20% -37.3% 12% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.59 · official $9.59 (match) · 377 history records