trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +9.6% | -0.8% | 67% | 67% | -4.0% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +9.6% | -0.8% | 67% | 67% | -4.0% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -27.5% | -34.4% | 40% | 40% | -8.1% |
| all | 19 | -31.2% | -37.8% | 37% | 16% | -23.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.8% | 16% | -23.4% |
| 10% | -43.7% | 5% | -30.8% |
| 15% | -49.2% | 0% | -37.5% |
| 20% | -54.2% | 0% | -43.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $540 | $537 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $461 | +$79 | +17% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $393 | +$67 | +17% |
| Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | Jun 26 | $818 | −$44 | -5% |
| Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | May 11 | $68 | −$59 | -88% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Apr 15 | $19 | −$15 | -79% |
| Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 202 | Mar 09 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | Feb 24 | $1,096 | −$629 | -57% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? | Feb 12 | $148 | −$76 | -51% |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Jan 26 | $887 | −$20 | -2% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 19? | Jan 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on January 13 | Jan 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | Jan 09 | $489 | −$83 | -17% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 08 | $961 | +$9 | +1% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 07 | $618 | +$10 | +2% |
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k? | Jan 05 | $392 | −$200 | -51% |
| Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch? | Jan 04 | $150 | +$8 | +6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Jan 04 | $200 | −$42 | -21% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Jan 03 | $100 | +$5 | +5% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Dec 29 | $100 | +$31 | +31% |