Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:14:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1c7e…b429
crypto · 74 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses50 / 23
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)73 / 74
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day509.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 73 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 73¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-37%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $21 −$8 -40%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -47%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $16 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$8 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$7 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -31%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$5 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% +$3
crypto 40% −$12
world 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $4 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 39¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 36¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 36¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 37¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 54¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 54¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 54¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 54¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 55¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 50¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 52¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 52¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 51¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 51¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 52¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 52¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 52¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 52¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 51¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 52¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 52¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 51¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 52¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 51¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 51¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 51¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 51¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-3.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 +6.8% -3.3% 68% 52% -11.1%
≤30d 73 +6.8% -3.3% 68% 52% -11.1%
≤90d 73 +6.8% -3.3% 68% 52% -11.1%
all 73 +6.8% -3.3% 68% 52% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover509.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.3% 52% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -12.6% 36% -19.6%
15% -21.0% 22% -27.4%
20% -28.8% 14% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.74 · official $0.74 (match) · 650 history records