Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:53:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1cd2…60d4
crypto · 1438 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$240 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$240 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$240
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses882 / 555
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1437 / 1438
History coverage35d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day69.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1437 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$19
14 days−$230
30 days−$315
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 54¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$240
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 119 -8.3% -17.0% 43% 43% -14.0%
≤30d 1304 -9.0% -17.7% 59% 57% -14.9%
≤90d 1437 -6.1% -15.1% 61% 59% -13.3%
all 1437 -6.1% -15.1% 61% 59% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 59% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 46% -21.6%
15% -30.6% 31% -29.2%
20% -37.4% 19% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.62 · official $2.48 (match) · 3500 history records