trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +1009.9% | +904.2% | 100% | 100% | +91.7% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +217.1% | +186.9% | 29% | 29% | +31.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +112.4% | +92.2% | 23% | 23% | +33.3% |
| all | 13 | +112.4% | +92.2% | 23% | 23% | +33.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +92.2% | 23% | +33.3% |
| 10% | +73.8% | 15% | +20.5% |
| 15% | +57.0% | 15% | +8.9% |
| 20% | +41.6% | 15% | -1.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 85¢ | $20 | $122 | +$102 (+509%) |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 4¢ | $65 | $35 | −$30 (-45%) |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | No | 18¢ | 12¢ | $20 | $14 | −$6 (-32%) |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+10%) |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 19¢ | 10¢ | $15 | $7 | −$8 (-51%) |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Yes | 5¢ | 1¢ | $20 | $4 | −$16 (-80%) |
| Will Bogdan Guskov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 1¢ | $20 | $1 | −$19 (-95%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $362 | +$71 | +20% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $18 | +$518 | +2934% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $31 | −$30 | -96% |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | May 22 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 17 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 17 | $84 | −$84 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 16 | $16 | −$15 | -96% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 10 | $31 | +$136 | +442% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 04 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | Apr 27 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Apr 27 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22? | Apr 22 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | Apr 22 | $5 | −$5 | -93% |