Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T07:51:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1C 0x1cf1…7370 crypto 73 markets active 19h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (67 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$2 (+0%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate48%35W / 38L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day67.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (67 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 +15.5% +4.5% 48% 45% -13.2%
≤30d 73 +15.5% +4.5% 48% 45% -13.2%
≤90d 73 +15.5% +4.5% 48% 45% -13.2%
all 73 +15.5% +4.5% 48% 45% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover67.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.5% 45% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -5.5% 37% -21.5%
15% -14.7% 32% -29.1%
20% -23.0% 27% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 34% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +15% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +32% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$11 · ×1.0 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses35 / 38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)73 / 73
History coverage2d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day67.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 73 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$13 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $52 +$43 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $19 +$11 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$21 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $6 +$47 +732%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$4 +387%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$30 +281%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $16 +$29 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$80 +756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$9 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$9 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$13 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$6 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$6 +111%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $7 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $52 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $11 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $41 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $11 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $24 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $11 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $9 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $52 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $31 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $19 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $21 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $31 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $21 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $11 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $12 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 195 history records