trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 50% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 58% | 8% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 58% | 8% | -9.1% |
| all | 22 | +3.2% | -6.6% | 68% | 14% | -6.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.6% | 14% | -6.7% |
| 10% | -15.6% | 9% | -15.6% |
| 15% | -23.7% | 5% | -23.8% |
| 20% | -31.2% | 5% | -31.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 81¢ | $44 | $44 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 49¢ | 48¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 19 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $12 | −$2 | -15% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 19 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $26 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 14 | $48 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $91 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $2 | $0 | +17% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 10 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 'Alto Knights' gross more than 7m on opening weekend? | Mar 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | Mar 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 54°F or below on March 22? | Mar 23 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? | Mar 21 | $26 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in February 20 | Mar 12 | $21 | +$5 | +27% |
| Campbell vs. North Carolina A&T | Mar 04 | $6 | +$14 | +223% |