Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:01:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1cff…6cff
weather · 1591 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$321 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$321 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized+$321
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1582 / 6
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1588 / 1591
History coverage14d
Avg bet$144
Trades / day130.4
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 2 History 1588 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$56
7 days+$234
14 days+$321
30 days+$321
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Esmir Bajraktarević: 1+ shots on target Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Tajon Buchanan: 1+ shots Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Ismaël Koné: 2+ shots on target Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Ermedin Demirović: 3+ shots on target Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ shots on target Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Jacob Shaffelburg: 1+ shots Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Liam Millar: 5+ shots Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ismaël Koné: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Liam Millar: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Alistair Johnston: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Ermedin Demirović: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $80 $0 +0%
Tarik Muharemović: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Mathieu Choinière: 2+ shots on target Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Edin Džeko: 4+ shots Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Shimabukuro Jun 12 $101 $0 +0%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by June 30? Jun 12 $151 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Team Heretics (+3.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5) Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Bellucci vs. Fritz: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Mattia Bellucci vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 34% +$186
other 26% −$1
politics 13% +$34
crypto 10% +$34
world 7% +$77
weather 3% −$23
tech 3% +$6
economics 3% +$6
culture 1% +$2
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Esmir Bajraktarević: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $30 1h
Tajon Buchanan: 1+ shots BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Ismaël Koné: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $30 1h
Ermedin Demirović: 3+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Jacob Shaffelburg: 1+ shots BUY No 100¢ $30 1h
Liam Millar: 5+ shots BUY No 100¢ $30 1h
Ismaël Koné: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Ermedin Demirović: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Liam Millar: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Alistair Johnston: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Jonathan David: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $80 3h
Tarik Muharemović: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 3h
Mathieu Choinière: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Edin Džeko: 4+ shots BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $10 4h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) BUY 9z 100¢ $10 4h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5) BUY Spirit 99¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Ursa 100¢ $10 5h
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 5h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 BUY Over 100¢ $10 5h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 BUY Under 100¢ $10 5h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 100¢ $10 5h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 5h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $10 5h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: Draw at halftime? BUY No 100¢ $6 5h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 100¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY OLDBOYS- 100¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 439 -0.0% -9.6% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 1588 -0.1% -9.7% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1588 -0.1% -9.7% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 1588 -0.1% -9.7% 100% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover130.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.98 · official $19.98 (match) · 3500 history records