Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:29:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d00…0313
crypto · 32 markets active 102d ago
0.0score
+$5,385 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,385 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,385
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses37 / 20
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)57 / 32
Avg bet$2,907
Trades / day3355.0
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,947
7 days+$1,947
14 days+$1,947
30 days+$1,947
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - February 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 11AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $205 $0 −$205 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $823 $0 −$823 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $517 $0 −$517 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 9AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1,148 $0 −$1,148 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 9AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $278 $0 −$278 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 9AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $610 $0 −$610 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - February 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$11 +11814%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$498 +13413%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$494 +364585%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10AM ET Jun 12 $823 +$1,339 +163%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$124 +1684%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$156 +124202%
XRP Up or Down - February 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$161 +165425%
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$215 +8888%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 9AM ET Jun 12 $1,148 −$581 -51%
XRP Up or Down - February 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$48 +49273%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 9AM ET Jun 12 $278 −$48 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$426 +761528%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 9AM ET Jun 12 $610 −$46 -8%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$49 +16836%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$300 +1017%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$91 +718%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9AM ET Jun 12 $3,264 −$1,395 -43%
XRP Up or Down - February 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$105 +119696%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 11AM ET Mar 01 $1,093 +$52 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11AM ET Mar 01 $18,233 +$286 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11AM ET Mar 01 $7,577 −$566 -8%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Mar 01 $376 +$61 +16%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Mar 01 $492 +$1,003 +204%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Mar 01 $648 +$81 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Mar 01 $2,200 +$475 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Mar 01 $3,944 +$1,235 +31%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 11AM ET Mar 01 $2,601 +$26 +1%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Mar 01 $963 −$684 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Mar 01 $2,648 −$1,096 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Mar 01 $1,952 −$888 -46%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Mar 01 $263 −$7 -3%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Mar 01 $543 +$43 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Mar 01 $622 +$42 +7%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Mar 01 $734 +$129 +18%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Mar 01 $1,328 −$97 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Mar 01 $739 +$347 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Mar 01 $1,293 +$576 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Mar 01 $5,967 −$682 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Mar 01 $10,749 −$2,100 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Mar 01 $9,313 −$196 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Mar 01 $7,592 +$1,526 +20%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Mar 01 $57 +$8 +14%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Mar 01 $238 +$29 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,438
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 5? SELL Yes 97¢ $1,011 102d
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $8 102d
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $17 102d
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $60 102d
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $76 102d
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $87 102d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 5? SELL Yes 98¢ $7,124 102d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $125 102d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 5? SELL Yes 98¢ $196 102d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 5? SELL Yes 98¢ $0 102d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 5? SELL Yes 98¢ $405 102d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 5? SELL Yes 98¢ $1 102d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 5? SELL Yes 98¢ $442 102d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 5? SELL Yes 98¢ $196 102d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 5? SELL Yes 98¢ $1 102d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 5? SELL Yes 98¢ $1 102d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 5? SELL Yes 98¢ $98 102d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 5? SELL Yes 98¢ $0 102d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 5? SELL Yes 98¢ $54 102d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 5? SELL Yes 98¢ $250 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $2,350 102d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1? SELL No 100¢ $16,388 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $7 102d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $27 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 102d
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 11AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $86 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $33 102d
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $88 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $7 102d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+420.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +1135.9% +1018.2% 65% 65% +1011.7%
≤30d 20 +1135.9% +1018.2% 65% 65% +1011.7%
≤90d 20 +1135.9% +1018.2% 65% 65% +1011.7%
all 57 +475.7% +420.9% 65% 54% -3.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3355.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +420.9% 54% -3.9%
10% +371.0% 40% -13.1%
15% ← realistic here +325.5% 39% -21.5%
20% +283.8% 33% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records