Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:01:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d0a…cc6b
crypto · 235 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$109 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$110 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$110
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses116 / 117
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)233 / 235
History coverage2d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day178.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 233 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$110
7 days−$110
14 days−$110
30 days−$110
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Down 11¢ 17¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+55%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$11 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$21 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +166%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +152%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $16 −$16 -97%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $17 −$17 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$13 +1241%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -73%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$53
sports 3% −$39
other 1% −$16
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $14 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 30m
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 89¢ $1 41m
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 90¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $11 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 53m
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 89¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 11¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 233 -1.6% -11.0% 50% 42% -16.4%
≤30d 233 -1.6% -11.0% 50% 42% -16.4%
≤90d 233 -1.6% -11.0% 50% 42% -16.4%
all 233 -1.6% -11.0% 50% 42% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover178.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 42% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 36% -24.4%
15% -27.3% 30% -31.7%
20% -34.4% 24% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.07 · official $4.25 (match) · 467 history records