Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T16:03:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
1D 0x1d19…c7f0 crypto 7 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2 (+1%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%7W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day7.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +3.6% -6.3% 100% 0% -6.3%
≤30d 7 +3.6% -6.3% 100% 0% -6.3%
≤90d 7 +3.6% -6.3% 100% 0% -6.3%
all 7 +3.6% -6.3% 100% 0% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.3% 0% -6.3%
10% -15.2% 0% -15.3%
15% -23.4% 0% -23.5%
20% -30.9% 0% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 41% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses7 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 7 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 19 $25 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 19 $24 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $23 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 19 $22 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 19 $22 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $20 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $24 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $23 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $22 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $22 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $21 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 14 history records