Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:42:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d24…20b3
sports · 351 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9,046 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,896 · open −$150
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$60
Realized−$8,896
Unrealized−$150
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses160 / 190
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$4,491
Open positions1
Markets (closed)350 / 351
History coverage12d
Avg bet$948
Trades / day251.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 350 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,021
7 days−$10,783
14 days−$8,896
30 days−$8,896
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Gior Dota Team 19¢ 6¢ $210 $60 −$150 (-71%)
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner Estar Backs 29¢ 0¢ $224 $0 −$224 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $554 +$40 +7%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,749 −$679 -39%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 13 $2,428 −$532 -22%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,667 −$648 -39%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,975 −$1,163 -59%
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $840 +$244 +29%
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $920 −$132 -14%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $876 −$471 -54%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO1) - The International Europe Open Qu Jun 12 $363 +$150 +41%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 12 $1,996 +$1,519 +76%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $74 +$7 +9%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $954 −$742 -78%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,095 −$585 -53%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,408 −$915 -65%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,687 +$868 +52%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $422 +$131 +31%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,564 +$468 +30%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,700 −$115 -7%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $202 −$202 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $984 −$110 -11%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,535 −$445 -29%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $294 −$175 -60%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $566 −$566 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $939 −$480 -51%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,600 +$1,332 +51%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $654 −$103 -16%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,380 −$857 -36%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $247 −$247 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,525 −$2,066 -82%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $96 +$15 +16%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $826 +$251 +30%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,013 +$484 +48%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $670 +$291 +43%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $1,481 −$106 -7%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $481 −$481 -100%
Valorant: Looking For Home vs TrinitY - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $102 −$102 -100%
Valorant: Oasis Gaming vs BOOM Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,346 −$49 -2%
Valorant: Looking For Home vs TrinitY - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $31 +$15 +50%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $345 +$134 +39%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,746 +$1,944 +111%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,572 −$974 -62%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $917 +$347 +38%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 11 $1,022 −$40 -4%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 11 $192 −$134 -70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$9,046
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Gior Dota Team 9¢ $0 35m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Gior Dota Team 24¢ $2 46m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Gior Dota Team 21¢ $46 47m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Gior Dota Team 19¢ $151 47m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Gior Dota Team 16¢ $16 48m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner SELL Estar Backs 100¢ $906 1h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Estar Backs 89¢ $12 1h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Estar Backs 90¢ $73 1h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Estar Backs 74¢ $178 1h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Estar Backs 74¢ $139 1h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Estar Backs 73¢ $43 1h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Estar Backs 70¢ $4 1h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Estar Backs 70¢ $266 1h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Estar Backs 67¢ $46 1h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Estar Backs 65¢ $37 1h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Gior Dota Team 24¢ $17 1h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Gior Dota Team 22¢ $2 1h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Gior Dota Team 22¢ $23 1h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Gior Dota Team 84¢ $20 2h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Estar Backs 10¢ $22 2h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Estar Backs 16¢ $10 2h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Gior Dota Team 70¢ $361 2h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Estar Backs 19¢ $89 2h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Estar Backs 19¢ $75 2h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Gior Dota Team 19¢ $16 2h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Estar Backs 85¢ $13 2h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Estar Backs 85¢ $93 2h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Gior Dota Team 11¢ $14 3h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Estar Backs 76¢ $207 3h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 57¢ $357 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 180 -17.5% -25.3% 41% 36% -15.1%
≤30d 350 -5.6% -14.5% 46% 41% -12.0%
≤90d 350 -5.6% -14.5% 46% 41% -12.0%
all 350 -5.6% -14.5% 46% 41% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover251.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 41% -12.0%
10% -22.7% 35% -20.5%
15% ← realistic here -30.2% 27% -28.1%
20% -37.0% 19% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.46 · official $60.46 (match) · 3500 history records