Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:35:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d26…3b43
other · 13 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$17 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$7
Realized+$18
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses6 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)11 / 13
History coverage94d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 2 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Türkiye to score first vs. Australia? Yes 64¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $11 +$6 +54%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $7 +$8 +106%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $8 +$4 +50%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $6 −$5 -77%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 +$7 +156%
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Apr 30 $6 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Apr 30 $10 $0 +0%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw? Apr 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11? Mar 11 $10 +$20 +208%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 55% +$23
sports 35% −$18
crypto 10% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +12.8% +2.1% 57% 57% +11.1%
≤30d 7 +12.8% +2.1% 57% 57% +11.1%
≤90d 10 -5.4% -14.4% 50% 40% -11.6%
all 11 +14.1% +3.2% 55% 45% +10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.2% 45% +10.8%
10% -6.7% 45% +0.2%
15% -15.7% 45% -9.5%
20% -24.0% 45% -18.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.78 · official $19.07 · 28 history records