Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d27…e38d
crypto · 1134 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$717 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$717 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$717
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses786 / 348
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1134 / 1134
History coverage161d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day16.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$24
14 days−$14
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +114%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$717
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 408 -5.5% -14.5% 64% 63% -14.4%
≤30d 620 -4.2% -13.3% 64% 63% -13.0%
≤90d 626 -4.4% -13.5% 64% 63% -14.3%
all 1134 -2.7% -11.9% 69% 67% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 67% -11.1%
10% -20.4% 54% -19.6%
15% -28.1% 33% -27.4%
20% -35.1% 13% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records