Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:13:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1D 0x1d29…f0fc crypto 91 markets active 5h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (118 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$80 (+2%) realized +$80 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR63%break-even
Win rate66%60W / 31L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$52per market
Trades / day118.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (118 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 +1.6% -8.0% 66% 63% -9.5%
≤30d 91 +1.6% -8.0% 66% 63% -9.5%
≤90d 91 +1.6% -8.0% 66% 63% -9.5%
all 91 +1.6% -8.0% 66% 63% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover118.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 63% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 46% -18.2%
15% -24.9% 31% -26.1%
20% -32.2% 21% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$37 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$80
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses60 / 31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)91 / 91
History coverage2d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day118.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 91 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$6 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $133 −$80 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $26 +$25 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $46 +$16 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $26 +$27 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $52 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $51 −$49 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $26 +$15 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $51 −$29 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $72 −$21 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $41 +$34 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $61 −$60 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $61 +$13 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $62 −$40 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $87 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $61 +$12 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $61 +$13 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $62 +$41 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $101 −$95 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $76 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $76 +$19 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$19 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 16 $128 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $26 +$16 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$6 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $151 −$143 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $143 −$35 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $82 +$47 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $71 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $71 +$11 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $71 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $71 +$26 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $101 +$26 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $52 +$42 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $72 +$35 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $72 +$44 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $71 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 16 $71 +$21 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 16 $92 +$51 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $71 +$21 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $42 +$54 +130%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $72 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $51 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $61 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $53 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $41 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $17 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $32 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $33 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $41 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $22 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $51 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $51 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 257 history records