Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:08:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d2a…7682
sports · 328 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$251 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$309 · open −$52
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,434
Realized+$309
Unrealized−$52
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses119 / 103
Est. fees paid−$34
Open positions142
Markets (closed)222 / 328
History coverage2d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day480.9
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 142 History 222 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$124
7 days+$309
14 days+$309
30 days+$309
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 50¢ 48¢ $56 $54 −$2 (-3%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes 19¢ 44¢ $18 $42 +$24 (+131%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 45¢ 42¢ $43 $41 −$2 (-5%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+4%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 38¢ $31 $30 −$1 (-4%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 57¢ 56¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-3%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 78¢ 78¢ $28 $28 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $30 $26 −$4 (-13%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $30 $26 −$4 (-14%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 50¢ 54¢ $23 $24 +$2 (+7%)
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? Yes 12¢ 24¢ $12 $24 +$12 (+100%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $24 $24 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 56¢ $22 $23 +$1 (+4%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 63¢ 62¢ $22 $21 −$0 (-2%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? No 32¢ 34¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+3%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 52¢ 52¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? No 79¢ 78¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? No 75¢ 74¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 46¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Germany 84¢ 82¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Over 34¢ 32¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 80¢ 80¢ $18 $18 +$0 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Under 35¢ 34¢ $18 $17 −$1 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $56 −$48 -85%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $24 +$3 +14%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $8 +$5 +58%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $18 +$1 +7%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$14 +140%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will Shelbourne FC win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +180%
Will Derry City FC win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 +$10 +325%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$23 +227%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$2 +34%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $21 −$5 -23%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $29 +$7 +24%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 8 above $205? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$2 +24%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $5 +$6 +121%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 8 above $290? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -89%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $9 −$7 -73%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $360-$365 on the final day of trading of Jun 12 $7 −$2 -26%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 12 $10 −$1 -8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $14 +$41 +290%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $12 +$2 +14%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $14 +$46 +341%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $15 +$3 +18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$3 -26%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $6 +$4 +63%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $17 +$8 +46%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $15 −$13 -86%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $1 +$3 +250%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $10 +$18 +185%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $1 +$3 +226%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $7 −$4 -62%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $5 +$6 +105%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $32 +$4 +14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $4 +$4 +101%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 72% +$176
other 22% +$76
world 4% +$5
politics 2% −$1
finance 1% +$11
tech 0% −$11
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 56¢ $10 3m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 34¢ $20 4m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 18¢ $0 5m
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 50¢ $4 13m
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 50¢ $8 13m
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) BUY Spurs 31¢ $2 13m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 17¢ $0 34m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 34¢ $0 44m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $20 46m
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 50¢ $8 46m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 52¢ $8 48m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 52¢ $2 48m
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 27¢ $4 49m
Spread: Knicks (-8.5) BUY Spurs 83¢ $5 54m
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 56m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 53¢ $3 58m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 34¢ $0 59m
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) BUY Belgium 34¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Team Liquid 48¢ $3 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Team Liquid 48¢ $3 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 78¢ $4 1h
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) BUY Knicks 89¢ $7 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 83¢ $2 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 83¢ $2 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 BUY Over 55¢ $1 1h
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? BUY No 66¢ $2 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 82¢ $2 1h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 40¢ $1 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 35¢ $0 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 19¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+23.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 222 +36.6% +23.6% 54% 49% +3.4%
≤30d 222 +36.6% +23.6% 54% 49% +3.4%
≤90d 222 +36.6% +23.6% 54% 49% +3.4%
all 222 +36.6% +23.6% 54% 49% +3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover480.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +23.6% 49% +3.4%
10% ← realistic here +11.8% 42% -6.5%
15% +1.0% 35% -15.5%
20% -8.9% 28% -23.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,434.42 · official $1,434.18 (match) · 3500 history records