Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:41:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d2e…9f03
crypto · 27 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$54 -47%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$54
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses2 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 27
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day49.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$54
7 days−$54
14 days−$54
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$15 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$30 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-64.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -61.0% -64.7% 7% 7% -54.0%
≤30d 27 -61.0% -64.7% 7% 7% -54.0%
≤90d 27 -61.0% -64.7% 7% 7% -54.0%
all 27 -61.0% -64.7% 7% 7% -54.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -64.7% 7% -54.0%
10% ← realistic here -68.1% 7% -58.4%
15% -71.2% 7% -62.4%
20% -74.0% 7% -66.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 51 history records