Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:40:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d42…4883
crypto · 37 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$35 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses15 / 20
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)35 / 37
History coverage21d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days+$22
14 days+$22
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 63¢ 63¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 58¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$10 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -91%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $7 +$32 +442%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $14 +$15 +107%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +87%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$6 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 24 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 24 $1 $0 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$25
sports 14% +$47
other 0% −$1
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playo BUY EDward Gaming 58¢ $2 34m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 63¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $0 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $0 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $7 16h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 99¢ $29 17h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 47¢ $14 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -5.8% -14.8% 44% 44% +0.7%
≤30d 35 -8.5% -17.3% 43% 40% -0.0%
≤90d 35 -8.5% -17.3% 43% 40% -0.0%
all 35 -8.5% -17.3% 43% 40% -0.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.3% 40% -0.0%
10% -25.2% 26% -9.6%
15% -32.4% 23% -18.3%
20% -39.0% 14% -26.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.87 · official $6.87 (match) · 91 history records