Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T09:45:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1D 0x1d60…f6af crypto 450 markets active 2h ago coverage 13d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$892 (+2%) realized +$892 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate94%423W / 27L
Drawdown68%max
Avg bet$80per market
Trades / day53.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$93
7 days+$478
14 days+$758
30 days+$758
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$758
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 +1.7% -8.0% 97% 2% -6.3%
≤30d 450 +0.4% -9.1% 94% 5% -7.6%
≤90d 450 +0.4% -9.1% 94% 5% -7.6%
all 450 +0.4% -9.1% 94% 5% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 5% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 0% -16.5%
15% -25.8% 0% -24.5%
20% -33.0% 0% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
83% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$52 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.54 per $1 lost it wins $1.54
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$892
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses423 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)450 / 450
History coverage13d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day53.4
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 450 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 20 $201 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $149 +$14 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 20 $201 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $147 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 19 $75 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 19 $83 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 19 $27 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $71 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $201 +$14 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 19 $105 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 19 $137 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 19 $195 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 19 $110 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $27 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $61 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 19 $136 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $138 +$14 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 19 $170 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $169 +$18 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 19 $201 +$14 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $200 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $201 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 18 $27 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 18 $201 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $85 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 18 $173 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $88 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 18 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 18 $186 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $96 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $154 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $80 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 18 $200 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 18 $130 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $125 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $126 +$12 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $62 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $199 +$21 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 18 $55 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 18 $156 +$9 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 18 $103 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $201 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $18 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $70 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $181 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $98 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $92 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $201 +$8 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $142 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $118 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $132 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $69 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $147 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $75 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $83 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $27 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $71 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $201 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $105 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $137 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $32 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $56 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $0 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $39 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $32 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $32 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $110 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $27 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $61 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1149 history records