trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +6.2% | -3.9% | 40% | 40% | -11.9% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -24.0% | -31.2% | 29% | 29% | -31.1% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +42.1% | +28.6% | 44% | 44% | -10.9% |
| all | 11 | +16.9% | +5.7% | 36% | 36% | -12.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +5.7% | 36% | -12.7% |
| 10% | -4.4% | 36% | -21.1% |
| 15% | -13.6% | 36% | -28.7% |
| 20% | -22.1% | 36% | -35.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $38 | $1 | −$37 (-98%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the | Jun 21 | $100 | +$79 | +80% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombi | Jun 21 | $26 | +$61 | +238% |
| Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian | Jun 21 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Will voter turnout be 51-54% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian | Jun 21 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 21 | $118 | −$103 | -88% |
| Will Iván Cepeda win between 35% and 40% of votes in the first round o | Jun 01 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid | May 30 | $40 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Rep | Apr 05 | $15 | +$51 | +340% |
| Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Rep | Apr 05 | $15 | +$31 | +206% |
| Will Pacto Histórico win 18-20 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 20 | Mar 09 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Mar 09 | $5 | −$4 | -93% |