Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:35:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d75…5ef9
crypto · 207 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$581 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$786 · open −$205
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$181
Realized+$786
Unrealized−$205
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses192 / 14
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions1
Markets (closed)206 / 207
History coverage3d
Avg bet$84
Trades / day341.1
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 206 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$749
7 days+$786
14 days+$786
30 days+$786
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 97¢ 46¢ $386 $181 −$205 (-53%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $163 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $176 −$176 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $58 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $118 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $565 +$12 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $556 +$14 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $552 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $118 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $524 +$8 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $503 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $292 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $174 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $235 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $536 +$8 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $476 +$14 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $235 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $116 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $234 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $176 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $179 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $48 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $118 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $147 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $584 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $65 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $97 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $809 +$17 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$22 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$65 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $49 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $187 +$59 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$582
sports 3% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $59 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $59 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $58 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $13 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $58 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $18 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $58 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $60 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $58 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $16 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $13 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $14 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $46 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $54 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-3.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 206 +6.8% -3.4% 93% 9% -5.3%
≤30d 206 +6.8% -3.4% 93% 9% -5.3%
≤90d 206 +6.8% -3.4% 93% 9% -5.3%
all 206 +6.8% -3.4% 93% 9% -5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover341.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.4% 9% -5.3%
10% ← realistic here -12.6% 7% -14.4%
15% -21.1% 5% -22.7%
20% -28.8% 5% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $181.13 · official $141.32 · 1270 history records