Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:37:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d8c…5377
crypto · 977 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$923 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$923 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$923
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses503 / 738
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1241 / 977
Avg bet$11
Trades / day206.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1241 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,067
7 days−$1,278
14 days−$923
30 days−$923
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$327
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $33 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $32 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $12 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-27.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 734 -43.9% -49.2% 27% 21% -30.5%
≤30d 1241 -19.9% -27.5% 41% 35% -16.9%
≤90d 1241 -19.9% -27.5% 41% 35% -16.9%
all 1241 -19.9% -27.5% 41% 35% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover206.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.5% 35% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -34.4% 32% -24.9%
15% -40.8% 27% -32.1%
20% -46.6% 21% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records