Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:06:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d9b…c32d
other · 6 markets active 3d ago
0.5score
+$11,320 +47%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11,320 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$11,320
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses6 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4,016
Trades / day55.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$11,320
14 days+$11,320
30 days+$11,320
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026? Jun 09 $54 +$6 +11%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $1,441 +$571 +40%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? Jun 09 $3,195 +$4,688 +147%
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026? Jun 09 $8,730 +$2,033 +23%
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $10,539 +$3,839 +36%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $137 +$184 +134%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$11,320
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 80¢ $2 3d
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 80¢ $4 3d
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 80¢ $40 3d
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 80¢ $246 3d
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 80¢ $6 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? BUY Yes 80¢ $10 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? BUY Yes 80¢ $8 3d
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 81¢ $4,489 3d
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 80¢ $3,944 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? BUY Yes 40¢ $10 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? BUY Yes 40¢ $41 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? BUY Yes 40¢ $62 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? BUY Yes 40¢ $7 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? BUY Yes 40¢ $1 3d
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026? BUY Yes 90¢ $54 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 41¢ $28 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 41¢ $731 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 41¢ $64 3d
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 74¢ $2,903 3d
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 72¢ $3,635 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $309 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 72¢ $737 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $25 3d
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+49.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +65.2% +49.5% 100% 100% +33.0%
≤30d 6 +65.2% +49.5% 100% 100% +33.0%
≤90d 6 +65.2% +49.5% 100% 100% +33.0%
all 6 +65.2% +49.5% 100% 100% +33.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +49.5% 100% +33.0%
10% +35.2% 83% +20.3%
15% ← realistic here +22.1% 67% +8.6%
20% +10.1% 33% -2.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 65 history records