Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:49:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1db4…c83a
crypto · 222 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$33 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$293 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$293
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses122 / 100
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)222 / 222
History coverage3d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day599.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 222 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$208
7 days−$293
14 days−$293
30 days−$293
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $96 −$48 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$9 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$9 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$15 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$16 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $61 −$9 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $62 −$41 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $275 −$12 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $62 −$60 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $169 +$21 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $92 −$12 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $107 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $88 +$54 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $128 +$16 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $36 −$20 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $156 −$33 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $193 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $64 −$56 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $115 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $94 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $149 +$17 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$290
politics 0% −$1
other 0% −$1
sports 0% −$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $7 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $23 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $17 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 222 -9.7% -18.3% 55% 24% -13.0%
≤30d 222 -9.7% -18.3% 55% 24% -13.0%
≤90d 222 -9.7% -18.3% 55% 24% -13.0%
all 222 -9.7% -18.3% 55% 24% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover599.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 24% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 11% -21.4%
15% -33.3% 8% -29.0%
20% -39.8% 5% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1645 history records