Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:01:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1D 0x1dc8…0960 crypto 826 markets active 4h ago coverage 54d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 54d only
✗ bot/MM pace (63 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$3,023 (-25%) realized −$3,023 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -39% what you keep after slip
Net edge-39%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate25%223W / 662L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day63.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,728
7 days−$1,914
14 days−$2,231
30 days−$2,245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$725
other 3% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (63 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-27.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 390 -31.0% -37.6% 22% 20% -35.7%
≤30d 533 -30.8% -37.4% 25% 24% -27.3%
≤90d 885 -20.3% -27.9% 25% 24% -27.8%
all 885 -20.3% -27.9% 25% 24% -27.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover63.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.9% 24% -27.8%
10% ← realistic here -34.8% 22% -34.7%
15% -41.1% 20% -41.1%
20% -46.9% 17% -46.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -22% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -20% · $-wt -22% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -32% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$7 · ×1.41 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.48 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

54d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,023
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses223 / 662
Open positions0
Markets (closed)885 / 826
History coverage54d ⚠
Avg bet$14
Trades / day63.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 885 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 2? Jun 18 $292 −$292 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 4? Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 18 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 18 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $210 −$210 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5? Jun 18 $6 −$4 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$17 +702%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 18 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 21? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 18 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on April 3? Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 10? Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records