trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 44% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 48% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 27 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 52% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -17.9% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $175 | $175 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 95¢ | 98¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $130 in June? | Jun 23 | $185 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 02 | $185 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun | May 31 | $191 | −$1 | -1% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | May 31 | $379 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 31 | $192 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | May 30 | $378 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 | May 30 | $21 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? | May 30 | $194 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 30 | $193 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 28 | $195 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 27 | $180 | $0 | -0% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | May 27 | $193 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 27 | $190 | +$4 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | May 26 | $190 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | May 26 | $186 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 26 | $383 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | May 26 | $190 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 25 | $193 | −$4 | -2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | May 12 | $192 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 18 | $182 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 14 | $193 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | Mar 27 | $190 | $0 | -0% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Mar 26 | $120 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Feb 13 | $59 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 February 2-8? | Feb 10 | $180 | +$9 | +5% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Februa | Feb 04 | $184 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Feb 04 | $184 | +$1 | +0% |