Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:48:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1dca…49f5
other · 160 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$6 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses160 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)160 / 160
History coverage82d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 0 History 160 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Sato vs. Nishimura: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Edin Džeko: 4+ shots Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
RCA Zemamra vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Cyprus 3 - 3 Moldova? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will "Schmigadoon!" win Best Original Score at the 2026 Tony Awards? Jun 08 $5 $0 +2%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Russia 2 - 3 Burkina Faso? Jun 05 $4 $0 +0%
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Arvid Lindblad achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Oliver Bearman achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Preston vs. Krueger: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Dylan Harper Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Harrison Barnes Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Josh Hart Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
MLP St. Louis: Utah Black Diamonds vs Los Angeles Mad Drops Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
WTT - Women's Singles: Charlotte Lutz vs Yi-Tian Yeh Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
Birmingham (Doubles): Gibson/Tjen vs Preston/Swan Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
StarCraft II: SKillous vs Gerald (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group St Jun 04 $5 $0 +1%
Will Loren Colin advance from the CA-34 primary election? Jun 04 $1 $0 +1%
Centurion 2 (Doubles): Castelnuovo/Hsu vs Montsi/Schalkwyk Jun 04 $4 $0 +0%
Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Lakewood: Noah Johnston vs Kaylan Bigun Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Dota 2: Execration vs Direborn - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $5 +$1 +24%
Will Starmer say "Apologize" during the next Prime Minister's Question Jun 03 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 3 - 2 Atlético Nacional? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 3 Guatemala? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Will "The Theory of Everything" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Will "The Crash" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Yu-Chen Lin vs. Xinran Sun: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Roland Garros Juniors, Girls: Yu-Chen Lin vs Xinran Sun Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Will Kevin Schade be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squ Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Doig vs. Kisimov: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1? Jun 01 $5 $0 +1%
CD Limache vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: Draw at halftime? Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Sik vs. Chabalgoity: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Game 4: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Svitolina vs. Bencic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Washington Spirit 3 - 0 Seattle Reign FC? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
FC Imabari vs. FC Ryūkyū: O/U 5.5 May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? May 31 $5 $0 +11%
Athletic Club vs. Fortaleza EC: O/U 1.5 May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 4? May 30 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Qingdao Xihaian FC 1 - 1 Shanghai Shenhua FC? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% +$2
sports 42% +$4
politics 2% $0
crypto 2% $0
world 2% $0
culture 1% $0
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Sato vs. Nishimura: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 1h
Edin Džeko: 4+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
RCA Zemamra vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 3d
Exact Score: Cyprus 3 - 3 Moldova? BUY No 100¢ $5 3d
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 100¢ $5 4d
Will "Schmigadoon!" win Best Original Score at the 2026 Tony Awards? BUY Yes 98¢ $5 5d
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 7d
Exact Score: Russia 2 - 3 Burkina Faso? BUY No 100¢ $4 7d
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Will Oliver Bearman achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Will Arvid Lindblad achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Preston vs. Krueger: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 7d
Dylan Harper BUY No 99¢ $5 8d
Harrison Barnes BUY No 99¢ $5 8d
Josh Hart BUY No 99¢ $5 8d
MLP St. Louis: Utah Black Diamonds vs Los Angeles Mad Drops BUY Los Angeles Mad Drops 100¢ $5 8d
WTT - Women's Singles: Charlotte Lutz vs Yi-Tian Yeh BUY Yeh 99¢ $5 8d
Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 8d
Birmingham (Doubles): Gibson/Tjen vs Preston/Swan BUY Gibson/Tjen 100¢ $5 8d
StarCraft II: SKillous vs Gerald (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group St BUY SKillous 99¢ $5 8d
Will Loren Colin advance from the CA-34 primary election? BUY No 99¢ $1 9d
Centurion 2 (Doubles): Castelnuovo/Hsu vs Montsi/Schalkwyk BUY Montsi/Schalkwyk 100¢ $4 9d
Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? BUY No 100¢ $5 9d
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 100¢ $5 9d
ITF Lakewood: Noah Johnston vs Kaylan Bigun BUY Noah Johnston 100¢ $5 9d
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill? BUY No 100¢ $5 9d
Dota 2: Execration vs Direborn - Game 1 Winner BUY Execration 80¢ $5 9d
Will Starmer say "Apologize" during the next Prime Minister's Question BUY Yes 99¢ $5 9d
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 3 - 2 Atlético Nacional? BUY No 100¢ $5 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 69 +0.8% -8.8% 100% 3% -8.8%
≤90d 160 +0.8% -8.8% 100% 2% -8.9%
all 160 +0.8% -8.8% 100% 2% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 2% -8.9%
10% -17.5% 1% -17.6%
15% -25.5% 1% -25.5%
20% -32.8% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 323 history records