trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $17 | +$12 (+233%) |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? | Yes | 61¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Hungary leading at halftime? | Yes | 58¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$18 | +172% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $11 | +$25 | +227% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$3 | +34% |
| Portugal vs. Nigeria: Draw at halftime? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$4 | -78% |
| Exact Score: Hungary 3 - 1 Kazakhstan? | Jun 09 | $5 | +$9 | +180% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Hungary leading at halftime? | Jun 09 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $15 | −$1 | -4% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 07 | $32 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw? | Jun 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions | Jun 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $10 | +$20 | +197% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 04 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks | Jun 04 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $8 | +$3 | +34% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | May 30 | $4 | +$4 | +100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $10 | +$9 | +90% |
| Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $5 | +$8 | +150% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 30 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $77 | −$38 | -49% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $5 | +$4 | +73% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $5 | +$4 | +70% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +2.1% | -7.7% | 33% | 33% | +6.1% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +7.6% | -2.6% | 42% | 42% | -14.8% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +7.6% | -2.6% | 42% | 42% | -14.8% |
| all | 26 | +7.6% | -2.6% | 42% | 42% | -14.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.6% | 42% | -14.8% |
| 10% | -12.0% | 42% | -23.0% |
| 15% | -20.5% | 35% | -30.4% |
| 20% | -28.3% | 35% | -37.2% |