Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:03:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1ddb…a7a5
sports · 169 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$1,207 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,209 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$223
Realized+$1,209
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses98 / 66
Est. fees paid−$96
Open positions4
Markets (closed)164 / 169
History coverage69d
Avg bet$69
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 4 History 164 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$96
7 days+$428
14 days+$582
30 days+$542
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $114 $113 −$1 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Yes 43¢ 44¢ $60 $61 +$1 (+1%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $40 $35 −$5 (-12%)
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $11 $14 +$3 (+27%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 56¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Team Secret Whales 62¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 63¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 40¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX Challengers 52¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 58¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season G2 Esports 66¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 53¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner Fnatic 66¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner Team WE 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Trail Blazers 70¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 59¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 68¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming 44¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner ThunderTalk Gaming 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: RAYN Clocks vs FENNEL - Game 1 Winner RAYN Clocks 67¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $24 +$28 +112%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $26 +$10 +37%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $27 +$19 +69%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $27 +$30 +108%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$19 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$7 +35%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $33 +$15 +47%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $8 +$21 +270%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $19 +$7 +37%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$14 +150%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $19 +$13 +72%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $28 +$22 +79%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $15 +$16 +109%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 09 $10 −$9 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $15 +$15 +98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $30 +$9 +31%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $17 −$17 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $38 +$38 +100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $60 +$31 +51%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $21 −$21 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $34 +$16 +47%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 07 $184 +$324 +176%
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $13 −$13 -97%
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? Jun 01 $8 −$4 -55%
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? Jun 01 $1 $0 -32%
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5 Jun 01 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $10 +$30 +284%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 31 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 31 $34 +$16 +48%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 31 $31 −$31 -100%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $150 +$210 +140%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner May 23 $5 −$5 -99%
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5 May 18 $32 −$32 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season May 17 $29 −$29 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 1 Winner May 17 $47 −$47 -100%
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner May 17 $68 +$8 +12%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner May 17 $35 −$35 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner May 17 $35 +$15 +43%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 17 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner May 17 $31 +$19 +61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% +$904
world 12% +$13
other 11% +$291
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $52 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 47¢ $24 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $36 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $21 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 73¢ $26 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $46 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $18 6h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $6 6h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $3 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $57 7h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 59¢ $20 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $12 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $8 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $7 8h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $27 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 40¢ $20 9h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 74¢ $20 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 50¢ $12 9h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 16h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $69 16h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 17h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $35 17h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $48 25h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $29 26h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 27¢ $8 26h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 68¢ $33 27h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 100¢ $26 29h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $24 29h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AN BUY 12¢ $10 29h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $10 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +14.3% +3.4% 60% 60% +37.6%
≤30d 56 -3.0% -12.2% 50% 50% +20.0%
≤90d 164 +1.7% -8.0% 60% 52% +0.1%
all 164 +1.7% -8.0% 60% 52% +0.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 52% +0.1%
10% -16.8% 45% -9.5%
15% -24.8% 37% -18.2%
20% -32.2% 26% -26.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $223.24 · official $233.26 · 504 history records