trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 100% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 91% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 23 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 91% | 0% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.0% | 0% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -17.7% | 0% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -25.6% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -32.9% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1,723 | $1,739 | +$16 (+1%) |
| Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $217 | $218 | +$1 (+0%) |
| Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $89 | $88 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Jun 26 | $400 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Jun 23 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Jun 23 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Jun 23 | $104 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Jun 23 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Starmer out by June 21, 2026? | Jun 21 | $294 | +$4 | +2% |
| o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Jun 18 | $90 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Jun 16 | $309 | +$1 | +0% |
| Starmer out by June 15, 2026? | Jun 16 | $302 | +$8 | +3% |
| Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale? | Jun 01 | $300 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May? | May 23 | $297 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May? | May 20 | $1,681 | +$5 | +0% |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | May 20 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May? | May 19 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May? | May 18 | $327 | $0 | -0% |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | May 14 | $245 | +$10 | +4% |
| MegaETH FDV above $3B one day after launch? | May 01 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| MegaETH FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? | May 01 | $505 | $0 | +0% |
| MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch? | May 01 | $1,234 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | May 01 | $119 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | Apr 30 | $152 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Apr 30 | $1,845 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will CZ post 100-119 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | Apr 28 | $150 | +$1 | +0% |