trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 28 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 46% | 46% | +3.4% |
| ≤30d | 29 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 45% | 45% | +2.2% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 45% | 45% | +2.2% |
| all | 29 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 45% | 45% | +2.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.0% | 45% | +2.2% |
| 10% | -20.4% | 45% | -7.6% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 45% | -16.5% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 45% | -24.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $220 | $188 | −$32 (-15%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $146 | $141 | −$5 (-3%) |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | Over | 54¢ | 55¢ | $40 | $40 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $41 | +$97 | +238% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $131 | +$69 | +52% |
| Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 | Jun 26 | $182 | +$95 | +52% |
| Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score | Jun 26 | $232 | +$127 | +55% |
| Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5 | Jun 26 | $132 | +$177 | +134% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | Jun 26 | $132 | −$130 | -99% |
| Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5 | Jun 26 | $132 | −$130 | -99% |
| Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $51 | +$127 | +250% |
| Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5 | Jun 26 | $30 | +$32 | +105% |
| Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score | Jun 25 | $30 | +$24 | +79% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5 | Jun 25 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 | Jun 25 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $30 | +$28 | +93% |
| Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | Jun 25 | $31 | +$44 | +146% |
| Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 2.5 | Jun 25 | $30 | +$27 | +90% |
| Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5 | Jun 25 | $30 | +$25 | +83% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5 | Jun 24 | $31 | +$44 | +146% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $36 | −$35 | -98% |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $36 | −$35 | -97% |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |