Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e1a…7690
other · 95 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$566 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,806 · open −$5,009
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$27,071
Realized+$4,806
Unrealized−$5,009
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses98 / 219
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Open positions135
Markets (closed)317 / 95
Avg bet$727
Trades / day418.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit2%
Chart Positions 135 History 317 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,452
7 days+$4,806
14 days+$4,806
30 days+$4,806
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 69¢ $87 $1,367 +$1,280 (+1470%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $1,005 $1,008 +$3 (+0%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 26¢ $147 $917 +$770 (+523%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 86¢ 88¢ $778 $788 +$10 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 22¢ $134 $751 +$617 (+459%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 96¢ 99¢ $661 $684 +$22 (+3%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 75¢ 74¢ $637 $629 −$8 (-1%)
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No 97¢ 99¢ $582 $597 +$14 (+2%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 78¢ 78¢ $585 $587 +$2 (+0%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 9¢ 28¢ $193 $567 +$374 (+194%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 56¢ 94¢ $337 $563 +$226 (+67%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 5¢ 18¢ $143 $544 +$401 (+280%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 97¢ 98¢ $536 $541 +$5 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 92¢ 90¢ $546 $536 −$10 (-2%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 97¢ 98¢ $500 $503 +$3 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 90¢ 90¢ $501 $500 −$1 (-0%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 82¢ 81¢ $493 $489 −$4 (-1%)
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026? Yes 2¢ 8¢ $121 $476 +$355 (+293%)
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026? Yes 2¢ 8¢ $122 $458 +$336 (+275%)
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $453 $454 +$1 (+0%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 12¢ $141 $445 +$303 (+215%)
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026? Yes 2¢ 7¢ $119 $436 +$317 (+266%)
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026? Yes 2¢ 7¢ $122 $429 +$306 (+250%)
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $425 $425 +$1 (+0%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 98¢ 99¢ $409 $411 +$2 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 12 $46 −$52 -114%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 12 $423 −$451 -107%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $236 −$236 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $99 −$214 -218%
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in March 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Jun 12 $40 +$141 +354%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 12 $48 −$80 -166%
Will Andrew Tate post 250-279 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $305 −$305 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Jun 12 $281 −$236 -84%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Jun 12 $19 +$815 +4274%
Will Andrew Tate post 310-339 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$115 -372234%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 12 $13 −$37 -277%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Jun 12 $282 +$729 +258%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in April 2026? Jun 12 $41 −$49 -117%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? Jun 12 $78 −$118 -150%
Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Jun 12 $205 +$95 +46%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Jun 12 $85 −$177 -208%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $118 −$118 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 12 $8 +$62 +803%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 12 $64 −$83 -130%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 12 $25 +$142 +576%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Jun 12 $108 −$169 -156%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? Jun 12 $281 −$199 -71%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 12 $125 +$187 +150%
Will Andrew Tate post 220-249 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Jun 12 $347 +$107 +31%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 12 $58 −$87 -150%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Jun 12 $186 −$129 -69%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 12 $54 −$78 -144%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Jun 12 $242 −$28 -12%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? Jun 12 $158 −$256 -162%
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026? Jun 12 $94 −$91 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 12 $78 −$91 -117%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026 Jun 12 $188 −$188 -100%
Will Andrew Tate post 520-549 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Jun 12 $59 −$65 -111%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 12 $58 −$87 -150%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Jun 12 $232 −$265 -114%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in May 2026? Jun 12 $102 −$111 -109%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 12 $7 +$68 +925%
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in April 2026? Jun 12 $20 −$34 -175%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 12 $39 +$139 +355%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in April 2026? Jun 12 $41 −$48 -117%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 12 $366 +$34 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$7,630
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $100 2m
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $100 2m
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $100 2m
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $68 3m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 13¢ $13 11m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 13¢ $5 40m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 6¢ $11 41m
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 41m
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $99 1h
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $18 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 74¢ $74 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 74¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 74¢ $7 1h
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $81 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $28 1h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 6¢ $6 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 74¢ $66 2h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $15 2h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $28 2h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $28 2h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $11 2h
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $99 2h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $92 3h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 93¢ $10 3h
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 87¢ $10 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 76¢ $76 3h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 93¢ $81 3h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 93¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)+120.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 317 +143.5% +120.3% 31% 29% +0.9%
≤30d 317 +143.5% +120.3% 31% 29% +0.9%
≤90d 317 +143.5% +120.3% 31% 29% +0.9%
all 317 +143.5% +120.3% 31% 29% +0.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover418.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +120.3% 29% +0.9%
10% ← realistic here +99.2% 28% -8.7%
15% +80.0% 27% -17.5%
20% +62.3% 27% -25.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27,070.74 · official $27,071.61 (match) · 3500 history records