Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:13:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e2c…d5cd
sports · 987 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,633 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$791 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$791
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses747 / 240
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)987 / 987
History coverage86d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day29.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 987 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$178
7 days−$178
14 days−$178
30 days−$178
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9? Down 60¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $188 $0 −$188 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1,100 $0 −$1,100 (-100%)
Spread: Warriors (-5.5) Warriors 46¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $99 −$97 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $63 −$50 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$38 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $63 +$21 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $57 −$50 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$11 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $63 +$29 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$17 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$8 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$10 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$22 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $48 −$46 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$15 +164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$44 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$8 +400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$5 +504%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$8 +400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$21 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 52% −$1,899
sports 47% +$1,134
tech 0% +$5
weather 0% −$1
finance 0% −$21
world 0% +$5
other 0% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)+5.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -22.5% -29.9% 28% 28% -28.8%
≤30d 67 -22.5% -29.9% 28% 28% -28.8%
≤90d 987 +16.1% +5.0% 76% 28% -11.6%
all 987 +16.1% +5.0% 76% 28% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.0% 28% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -5.0% 24% -20.1%
15% -14.2% 21% -27.8%
20% -22.6% 19% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records