Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:08:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e32…4847
sports · 916 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$439 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$437 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$437
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses435 / 469
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions12
Markets (closed)904 / 916
History coverage40d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day45.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 12 History 904 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$1
14 days−$113
30 days−$338
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Emma Raducanu 80¢ 80¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ 70¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Marta Kostyuk 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 61¢ 60¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers 48¢ 32¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-35%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Flavio Cobolli 69¢ 50¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-28%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 47¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 45¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 43¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 42¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 58¢ 36¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-39%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 49¢ 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-58%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Maddison Inglis 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Yulia Putintseva vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Yulia Putintseva 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
World Championships: USA vs. Germany Germany 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Chicago Cubs 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 +$10 +236%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $7 $0 -1%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $17 −$10 -58%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $6 −$2 -33%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $3 +$3 +87%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $5 −$1 -16%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $5 −$1 -19%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $1 +$1 +84%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $3 +$1 +20%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $2 +$1 +44%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $2 +$1 +26%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $2 −$1 -99%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $1 +$1 +85%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $2 −$1 -49%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 +$7 +140%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $1 +$1 +129%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $3 +$1 +46%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $2 +$1 +31%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $8 $0 +4%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $2 +$1 +65%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $3 +$2 +68%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $2 +$1 +65%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $2 $0 +24%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 10 $2 +$1 +36%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $2 +$1 +33%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $1 +$1 +57%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $3 +$1 +34%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$381
other 14% −$54
crypto 4% −$5
world 1% +$2
culture 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 35¢ $1 36m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 60¢ $2 52m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 45¢ $1 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 49¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 47¢ $1 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 43¢ $1 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 58¢ $1 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 61¢ $2 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 42¢ $1 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ $2 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 2h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $14 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 3h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 3h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 4h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 4h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 4h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 23¢ $2 4h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 5h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 5h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 5h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 58¢ $2 6h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $13 6h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $2 6h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 36¢ $1 6h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 44¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-26.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 -11.6% -20.0% 51% 48% -9.7%
≤30d 740 -17.9% -25.7% 49% 46% -25.0%
≤90d 904 -18.5% -26.2% 48% 46% -25.1%
all 904 -18.5% -26.2% 48% 46% -25.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.2% 46% -25.1%
10% ← realistic here -33.3% 40% -32.3%
15% -39.7% 33% -38.8%
20% -45.7% 24% -44.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.21 · official $21.21 (match) · 2055 history records