trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +25.6% | +13.7% | 33% | 33% | -32.7% |
| ≤30d | 27 | +46.0% | +32.1% | 26% | 26% | -46.1% |
| ≤90d | 51 | +2.6% | -7.1% | 27% | 27% | -42.0% |
| all | 70 | +9.3% | -1.2% | 34% | 33% | -26.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.2% | 33% | -26.8% |
| 10% | -10.6% | 33% | -33.8% |
| 15% | -19.2% | 31% | -40.2% |
| 20% | -27.2% | 30% | -46.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Haiti | 48¢ | 0¢ | $401 | $0 | −$401 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | Jun 20 | $508 | +$515 | +102% |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $517 | +$483 | +93% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $1,017 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Spread: Czechia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $1,013 | +$773 | +76% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $51 | +$430 | +837% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $1,015 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $96 | −$93 | -98% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $508 | −$500 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Jun 14 | $488 | −$480 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $305 | −$300 | -98% |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $205 | +$474 | +232% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $407 | −$400 | -98% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $305 | −$300 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Jun 04 | $507 | +$454 | +90% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 04 | $404 | −$404 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) | May 29 | $123 | −$123 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $305 | −$305 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) | May 29 | $204 | −$204 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-8.5) | May 29 | $507 | −$507 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | May 29 | $508 | −$508 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 29 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | May 29 | $830 | −$830 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | May 23 | $1,015 | +$443 | +44% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 20 | $504 | −$504 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $611 | +$526 | +86% |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | May 19 | $203 | −$203 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-14.5) | May 19 | $205 | −$205 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 19 | $508 | −$508 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | May 17 | $204 | −$204 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | May 14 | $1,522 | +$478 | +31% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 14 | $101 | +$95 | +93% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | May 14 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 14 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 14 | $204 | −$204 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | May 14 | $508 | −$508 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | May 14 | $509 | −$509 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $508 | +$546 | +107% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 05 | $204 | −$204 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | May 02 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 02 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) | Apr 19 | $200 | +$156 | +78% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Apr 19 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 19 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5) | Apr 13 | $100 | +$97 | +97% |
| Kings vs. Raptors | Apr 06 | $195 | −$195 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | BUY Haiti | 49¢ | $508 | 1h |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | BUY Haiti | 48¢ | $407 | 1h |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | BUY Australia | 51¢ | $517 | 6h |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | BUY Australia | 44¢ | $1,017 | 7h |
| Spread: Czechia (-1.5) | BUY South Africa | 56¢ | $1,013 | 34h |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 2.5 | BUY Over | 10¢ | $51 | 46h |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | BUY Uzbekistan | 49¢ | $1,015 | 2d |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY Croatia | 69¢ | $202 | 2d |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY Yes | 35¢ | $102 | 2d |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | BUY Algeria | 20¢ | $96 | 3d |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY Algeria | 49¢ | $508 | 3d |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | BUY Spurs | 50¢ | $488 | 6d |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 47¢ | $305 | 6d |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | SELL Paraguay | 67¢ | $667 | 7d |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | BUY Paraguay | 20¢ | $102 | 7d |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | BUY Paraguay | 20¢ | $102 | 7d |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | BUY Under | 19¢ | $102 | 7d |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | BUY Paraguay | 27¢ | $102 | 7d |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | BUY Under | 45¢ | $305 | 7d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 34¢ | $204 | 11d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 32¢ | $102 | 13d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 45¢ | $203 | 13d |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | BUY Knicks | 52¢ | $507 | 16d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Thunder | 14¢ | $103 | 20d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Thunder | 40¢ | $98 | 20d |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY Thunder | 39¢ | $204 | 20d |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | BUY Cavaliers | 8¢ | $103 | 25d |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | BUY Cavaliers | 53¢ | $830 | 25d |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | BUY Thunder | 49¢ | $508 | 26d |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 45¢ | $305 | 28d |