Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:34:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e3a…2824
crypto · 1187 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$330 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$330 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$330
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses446 / 812
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1258 / 1187
History coverage29d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day118.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1258 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$71
7 days−$145
14 days−$199
30 days−$330
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$3 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$267
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $3 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-29.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 360 -31.6% -38.1% 32% 27% -30.8%
≤30d 1258 -22.2% -29.6% 35% 30% -21.5%
≤90d 1258 -22.2% -29.6% 35% 30% -21.5%
all 1258 -22.2% -29.6% 35% 30% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover118.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.6% 30% -21.5%
10% ← realistic here -36.3% 25% -29.0%
15% -42.5% 20% -35.9%
20% -48.1% 16% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records