Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:53:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e4b…0a04
crypto · 824 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$977 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$989 · open +$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$112
Realized−$989
Unrealized+$12
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses513 / 367
Open positions1
Markets (closed)880 / 824
History coverage11d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day259.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 880 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$689
7 days−$842
14 days−$989
30 days−$989
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $112 +$12 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$354
other 1% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $16 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $15 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $13 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $13 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-24.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 657 -22.0% -29.4% 60% 53% -25.8%
≤30d 880 -16.8% -24.8% 58% 52% -20.7%
≤90d 880 -16.8% -24.8% 58% 52% -20.7%
all 880 -16.8% -24.8% 58% 52% -20.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover259.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.8% 52% -20.7%
10% ← realistic here -32.0% 20% -28.3%
15% -38.5% 13% -35.2%
20% -44.6% 9% -41.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $112.50 · official $112.50 (match) · 3500 history records