Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:20:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e50…2473
crypto · 157 markets active 5h ago
0.0score
−$27,887 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27,887 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$27,887
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses72 / 503
Whale WR (big bets)30%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)575 / 157
History coverage15d
Avg bet$801
Trades / day234.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 575 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57,035
7 days−$49,690
14 days−$41,122
30 days−$27,887
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 35¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+186%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $875 $0 −$875 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $825 $0 −$825 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $875 $0 −$875 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $917 $0 −$917 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $990 $0 −$990 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1,050 $0 −$1,050 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $875 $0 −$875 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1,058 $0 −$1,058 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $875 $0 −$875 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $825 $0 −$825 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $280 $0 −$280 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $624 $0 −$624 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $875 −$875 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $825 −$825 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $875 −$875 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $95 −$148 -155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $700 −$700 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $800 −$800 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $700 −$700 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $875 −$875 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $875 −$875 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $900 −$900 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $825 −$825 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $800 −$800 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $280 −$280 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $624 −$624 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $900 −$900 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $900 −$900 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $127 −$127 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $588 −$588 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $825 −$825 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $413 −$413 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $950 −$950 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $565 −$565 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $900 −$900 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $684 −$684 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $714 −$714 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$51,506
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1,050 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $77 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $28 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $990 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1,050 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1,050 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1,050 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1,050 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1,050 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1,050 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1,050 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1,050 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1,050 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $69 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $52 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1,050 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1,050 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1,050 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1,050 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1,050 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1,050 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1,080 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $24 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1,116 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $117 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-60.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 533 -66.8% -69.9% 8% 7% -44.8%
≤30d 575 -56.1% -60.3% 13% 12% -25.7%
≤90d 575 -56.1% -60.3% 13% 12% -25.7%
all 575 -56.1% -60.3% 13% 12% -25.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover234.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -60.3% 12% -25.7%
10% ← realistic here -64.1% 11% -32.8%
15% -67.5% 11% -39.3%
20% -70.7% 10% -45.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.15 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records