Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:24:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e5e…27b2
politics · 55 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$61 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$61 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses9 / 46
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)55 / 55
History coverage615d
Avg bet$318
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 0 History 55 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in Jun 11 $11 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 10 $9 $0 -0%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $9 $0 -0%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Jun 05 $11 $0 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 04 $12 $0 -0%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 03 $11 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 02 $10 $0 -0%
Will Solana reach $110 in May? Jun 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May? Jun 02 $30 $0 +0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $10 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $10 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 29 $10 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju May 24 $22 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? May 23 $10 $0 -0%
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 18 $50 $0 -0%
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 18 $54 $0 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 12 $53 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 11 $52 $0 -0%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 08 $58 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 May 07 $57 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 06 $107 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5? May 06 $24 $0 +0%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 01 $59 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 01 $54 $0 -0%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 30 $54 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 27 $57 $0 -0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 21 $57 $0 -0%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 21 $56 $0 -0%
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $53 $0 -0%
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 19 $57 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $54 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 18 $53 $0 -0%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Hawks vs. Cavaliers Apr 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Magic Apr 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07? Apr 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Predators vs. Kings Apr 08 $8 +$6 +79%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 07 $5 +$7 +146%
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? Apr 06 $23 +$2 +9%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? Apr 06 $47 +$1 +1%
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 156.5 Mar 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Trump out as President by March 31? Mar 06 $88 +$1 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February? Mar 05 $4 $0 +1%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Dec 31 $13,539 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 11 $2 $0 -1%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 01 $24 −$1 -3%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 10 $14 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 78% −$14
politics 16% −$8
other 4% −$12
crypto 1% +$1
sports 1% −$28
tech 0% $0
culture 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $8 1h
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $8 3h
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in SELL No 100¢ $11 32h
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in BUY No 100¢ $11 37h
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $9 2d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $9 2d
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $9 3d
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $9 3d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 39¢ $6 4d
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin SELL No 99¢ $11 7d
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin BUY No 99¢ $11 7d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $12 8d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $12 8d
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $11 9d
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $11 9d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 10d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 10d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 12d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 12d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 13d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 13d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $10 14d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $10 14d
Will Solana reach $110 in May? BUY No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju SELL No 100¢ $10 19d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju BUY No 100¢ $10 19d
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $10 20d
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju SELL No 100¢ $12 21d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju BUY No 100¢ $12 21d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -20.2% -27.8% 0% 0% -23.1%
≤30d 18 -5.7% -14.7% 11% 0% -11.6%
≤90d 44 -10.7% -19.2% 16% 5% -12.2%
all 55 -8.6% -17.3% 16% 4% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.3% 4% -9.8%
10% -25.2% 4% -18.5%
15% -32.5% 4% -26.3%
20% -39.1% 4% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 264 history records