trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -13.1% | -21.4% | 40% | 40% | -11.4% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -13.1% | -21.4% | 40% | 40% | -11.4% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 33% | 33% | -14.8% |
| all | 18 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 33% | 33% | -14.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.5% | 33% | -14.8% |
| 10% | -40.8% | 22% | -22.9% |
| 15% | -46.5% | 17% | -30.4% |
| 20% | -51.7% | 17% | -37.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $84 | −$3 | -4% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $40 | +$44 | +109% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $440 | −$400 | -91% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $17 | −$17 | -97% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $250 | +$206 | +82% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $214 | +$36 | +17% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $113 | +$151 | +134% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 17 | $69 | −$67 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $57 | +$12 | +21% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $68 | −$11 | -17% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $7 | −$6 | -80% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $142 | +$43 | +30% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $27 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11? | Apr 11 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Apr 11 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 11? | Apr 11 | $20 | −$19 | -93% |